Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:34:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6945…729c
sports · 619 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$22,080 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25,051 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$345
Realized−$25,051
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses382 / 537
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$640
Open positions2
Markets (closed)919 / 619
History coverage32d
Avg bet$346
Trades / day105.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 2 History 919 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23,397
7 days−$24,119
14 days−$25,454
30 days−$26,754
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 86¢ 86¢ $312 $310 −$2 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 73¢ 74¢ $34 $35 +$0 (+1%)
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? No 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 35¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5 Under 11¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Under 35¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 Over 65¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmane Terence Atmane 0¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Jil Teichmann 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova Elise Mertens 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23? No 20¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Sweden vs. Italy end in a draw? No 33¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Doumbia/Reboul Doumbia/Reboul 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinez Pedro Martinez 4¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 Over 31¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elise Mertens vs Ella Seidel Ella Seidel 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner Sebastian Ofner 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Petrojet SC win on 2026-05-13? No 76¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmane Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinez Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elise Mertens vs Ella Seidel Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkate Jun 14 $114 −$114 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Barcelona Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublev Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw? Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Francavilla: Facundo Acosta vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $651 −$651 -100%
Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $95 −$95 -100%
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-18? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will ZED FC win on 2026-05-07? Jun 14 $95 −$95 -100%
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02? Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Will FC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-09? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-02? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-02? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $70 −$70 -100%
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-10? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Federico Cina Jun 14 $90 −$90 -100%
Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Robert Strombachs Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-04-30? Jun 14 $293 −$293 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main C Jun 14 $132 −$132 -100%
Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanen Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-03? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Michael Mmoh Jun 14 $240 −$240 -100%
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz Jun 14 $295 −$295 -100%
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Shymkent: Sandro Kopp vs Sergey Fomin Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-04-26? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% −$1,701
other 22% −$176
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $302 12m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 100¢ $2,020 22m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 99¢ $300 24m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $173 24m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 92¢ $109 43m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 84¢ $95 45m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 84¢ $5 45m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 97¢ $138 45m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 97¢ $30 45m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $500 55m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $495 55m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 99¢ $248 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 99¢ $252 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 99¢ $368 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 99¢ $8 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 99¢ $124 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $1,009 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $500 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $500 1h
HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $100 1h
AS FAR vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $280 1h
AS FAR vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $464 1h
HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $99 1h
AS FAR vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 98¢ $74 2h
AS FAR vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 98¢ $200 2h
Raja Club Athletic vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $101 2h
Raja Club Athletic vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 2h
Raja Club Athletic vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $95 2h
AS FAR vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $149 2h
AS FAR vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 98¢ $108 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-48.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 389 -85.8% -87.2% 12% 3% -61.8%
≤30d 838 -45.9% -51.0% 39% 10% -25.6%
≤90d 919 -43.3% -48.7% 42% 11% -22.5%
all 919 -43.3% -48.7% 42% 11% -22.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -48.7% 11% -22.5%
10% ← realistic here -53.6% 7% -29.9%
15% -58.1% 5% -36.7%
20% -62.2% 4% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $344.75 · official $344.75 (match) · 3500 history records