Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:11:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6951…66f3
other · 130 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$19 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$23
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses65 / 62
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions3
Markets (closed)127 / 130
History coverage136d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit22%
Chart Positions 3 History 127 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$31
14 days+$44
30 days+$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-30? No 40¢ 66¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+64%)
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? No 48¢ 26¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-46%)
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-12? Yes 34¢ 11¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-67%)
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Angel City FC win on 2026-05-31? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Club Libertad win on 2026-05-27? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-06? No 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-05-30? No 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-06-06? No 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-05-28? No 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? No 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? No 72¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-05-31? No 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. UD Almería end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-04? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-08? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? No 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will CD Palestino vs. Audax CS Italiano end in a draw? No 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-31? No 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will SD Huesca vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? No 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Helsingborgs IF win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 +$3 +50%
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-31? Jun 11 $4 $0 -3%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $6 +$4 +70%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $6 +$9 +146%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
Will AS FAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 +$4 +70%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 +$3 +42%
Will UnionTouargaSports win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 +$12 +197%
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 +$7 +109%
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 +$3 +50%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 +$8 +129%
Will Malawi win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 +$2 +32%
Will US Yacoub El Mansour win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 +$5 +86%
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? Jun 09 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 −$6 -99%
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 −$6 -99%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 −$6 -99%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 +$4 +216%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $9 +$3 +31%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $6 −$6 -97%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $4 +$3 +65%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $4 +$2 +57%
Will Tochigi SC win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $4 +$5 +124%
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $4 +$2 +55%
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $4 +$2 +50%
Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $4 +$5 +134%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 +$5 +134%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 +$2 +40%
Will Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda end in a draw? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Will FC Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 +$2 +46%
Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Vegalta Sendai win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $8 +$5 +61%
Will FC Gifu win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 +$4 +93%
Will Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 +$2 +50%
Will Matsumoto Yamaga FC win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 +$5 +114%
Will Ehime FC win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 +$3 +62%
Will Tochigi City FC win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $8 −$8 -98%
Will RB Ōmiya Ardija vs. Kōchi United SC end in a draw? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $4 +$2 +60%
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $4 +$3 +82%
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-06-02? Jun 03 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $5 +$3 +50%
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $4 +$2 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 78% +$43
sports 22% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $6 1h
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 34¢ $6 1h
Will Helsingborgs IF win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 66¢ $6 23h
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-31? SELL No 74¢ $4 38h
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 49¢ $6 45h
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 58¢ $6 2d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 40¢ $6 2d
Will AS FAR win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 58¢ $6 2d
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $6 2d
Will UnionTouargaSports win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 33¢ $6 2d
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 47¢ $6 2d
Will Benin win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 70¢ $6 2d
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 66¢ $6 2d
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 72¢ $6 3d
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 59¢ $6 3d
Will US Yacoub El Mansour win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 53¢ $6 3d
Will Malawi win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 75¢ $6 3d
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 43¢ $6 3d
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 59¢ $6 3d
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 58¢ $6 3d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY No 50¢ $6 3d
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 4¢ $6 3d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 4d
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 4d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY No 60¢ $4 4d
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? BUY No 46¢ $4 4d
Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-06-07? BUY No 63¢ $4 5d
Will Tochigi SC win on 2026-06-07? BUY No 44¢ $4 5d
Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-06-07? BUY No 52¢ $4 5d
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-06-07? BUY No 66¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +16.1% +5.0% 61% 61% +3.1%
≤30d 114 +8.4% -1.9% 54% 53% -1.8%
≤90d 114 +8.4% -1.9% 54% 53% -1.8%
all 127 +3.5% -6.3% 51% 50% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.3% 50% -5.9%
10% -15.3% 50% -14.9%
15% -23.5% 48% -23.1%
20% -31.0% 37% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.76 · official $11.76 (match) · 213 history records