Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:01:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6964…a82f
sports · 495 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,538 -32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,504 · open −$44
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$175
Realized−$1,504
Unrealized−$44
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses173 / 298
Est. fees paid−$71
Open positions39
Markets (closed)471 / 495
History coverage44d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day41.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 39 History 471 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$259
7 days−$372
14 days−$1,174
30 days−$1,471
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 35¢ 36¢ $17 $18 +$1 (+4%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Yes 14¢ 12¢ $21 $17 −$4 (-17%)
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Olimpia Milano 89¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Over 53¢ 100¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+88%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 46¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+117%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 45¢ 76¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+71%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 26¢ 19¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-29%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Over 33¢ 12¢ $18 $7 −$11 (-62%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 61¢ 64¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 71¢ 68¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 76¢ 77¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Baltimore Orioles 67¢ 50¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-25%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) St. Louis Cardinals 76¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+32%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 48¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 54¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Phoenix Mercury 50¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Over 30¢ 43¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+43%)
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) St. Louis Cardinals 33¢ 95¢ $1 $4 +$2 (+188%)
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Texas Rangers 27¢ 25¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-8%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 84¢ 86¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) Miami Marlins 75¢ 50¢ $4 $2 −$1 (-34%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 16¢ 5¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-69%)
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 39¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Lahore Qalandars Jun 13 $21 −$22 -108%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Alina Charaeva vs Jes Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Madrid: Lisa Pigato vs Marina Bassols Ribera Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
AHL: Abbotsford Canucks vs. Calgary Wranglers Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? Jun 13 $4 −$8 -203%
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Sarasota: Andres Andrade vs Stefan Dostanic Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season Jun 13 $5 −$6 -106%
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22? Jun 13 $20 −$40 -202%
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Torino FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BMW Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Marko Topo Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Oce Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5) Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +45%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $20 +$16 +78%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +122%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$13 +87%
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$3 -65%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $118 +$2 +1%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 $0 -15%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $12 −$9 -78%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$2 -69%
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $14 −$4 -30%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 13 $2 −$1 -61%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $7 +$3 +38%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$5 +35%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -196%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $9 +$3 +33%
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED Leagu Jun 13 $2 +$4 +197%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $8 −$3 -33%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $6 −$1 -19%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $40 −$9 -23%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $7 −$2 -23%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$681
other 14% −$557
world 1% −$33
politics 1% −$21
crypto 1% −$57
tech 0% −$9
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 19¢ $1 4m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 86¢ $3 5m
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 97¢ $3 6m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 30¢ $3 8m
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) BUY Texas Rangers 25¢ $1 8m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 14¢ $1 9m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 44¢ $4 9m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 11¢ $1 23m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 11¢ $1 23m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 11¢ $1 23m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 11¢ $2 24m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 11¢ $2 24m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 71¢ $8 24m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 11¢ $1 24m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 11¢ $1 25m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 11¢ $1 25m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 SELL Over 18¢ $2 25m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 11¢ $1 25m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 72¢ $16 28m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL No 94¢ $29 28m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL No 94¢ $17 29m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL No 94¢ $36 29m
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) BUY Texas Rangers 28¢ $3 30m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 95¢ $29 35m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 95¢ $17 35m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 95¢ $36 36m
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) BUY Seattle Mariners 37¢ $1 40m
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 66¢ $2 41m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners SELL Over 59¢ $6 45m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? SELL Yes 16¢ $2 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-31.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 197 -20.1% -27.7% 40% 32% -24.5%
≤30d 464 -24.5% -31.7% 36% 31% -31.1%
≤90d 471 -24.1% -31.3% 37% 31% -31.5%
all 471 -24.1% -31.3% 37% 31% -31.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.3% 31% -31.5%
10% ← realistic here -37.9% 27% -38.1%
15% -43.9% 23% -44.1%
20% -49.4% 19% -49.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $175.08 · official $178.49 · 3500 history records