Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T03:00:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x696c…0285 crypto 905 markets active 1h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d only
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$712 (-10%) realized −$712 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate65%585W / 320L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day94.2pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$54
7 days−$174
14 days−$231
30 days−$463
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$460
other 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 226 -4.5% -13.6% 64% 48% -17.7%
≤30d 904 -4.1% -13.2% 65% 48% -15.6%
≤90d 905 -4.0% -13.1% 65% 48% -15.6%
all 905 -4.0% -13.1% 65% 48% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover94.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 48% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 32% -23.7%
15% -29.0% 23% -31.0%
20% -36.0% 15% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$712
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses585 / 320
Open positions0
Markets (closed)905 / 905
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day94.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 905 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$14 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$3 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$5 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$4 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$6 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$8 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$9 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$4 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $4 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $15 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $6 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records