Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T22:13:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x6972…68e9 crypto 117 markets active 0h ago coverage 27d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$30 (+3%) realized +$30 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate60%70W / 47L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day11.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$18
14 days−$13
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% +$10
world 4% +$9
other 3% +$4
sports 2% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 -13.4% -21.7% 65% 22% -11.6%
≤30d 117 -6.5% -15.4% 60% 26% -9.0%
≤90d 117 -6.5% -15.4% 60% 26% -9.0%
all 117 -6.5% -15.4% 60% 26% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 26% -9.0%
10% -23.5% 17% -17.7%
15% -30.9% 12% -25.7%
20% -37.7% 9% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
57% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses70 / 47
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)117 / 117
History coverage27d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day11.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 117 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 24 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 24 $25 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 24 $51 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 24 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 24 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 24 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 24 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 24 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 23 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 23 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 23 $42 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 23 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 23 $42 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 23 $15 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 22 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 22 $11 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 22 $35 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 22 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 22 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 22 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 22 $46 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 22 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 22 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 22 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $25 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 343 history records