Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:10:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6973…fded
crypto · 708 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,625 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,625 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,625
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses511 / 329
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)840 / 708
History coverage7d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day471.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 840 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,942
7 days−$2,700
14 days−$2,625
30 days−$2,625
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$49 -139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$68 -185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +254%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $545 −$584 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$23 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $206 −$206 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$197
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $145 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $28 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $18 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $23 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $22 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $17 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $24 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $17 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $24 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $19 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $17 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $52 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $13 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $19 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $18 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $22 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $17 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $23 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $106 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $97 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $97 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $97 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $34 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 835 -16.7% -24.7% 61% 41% -15.7%
≤30d 840 -16.5% -24.4% 61% 41% -15.5%
≤90d 840 -16.5% -24.4% 61% 41% -15.5%
all 840 -16.5% -24.4% 61% 41% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover471.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.4% 41% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -31.7% 21% -23.6%
15% -38.3% 7% -31.0%
20% -44.3% 3% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records