Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:55:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6978…ed38
crypto · 1175 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,268 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,268 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,268
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1090 / 111
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1201 / 1175
History coverage113d
Avg bet$97
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1201 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$662
7 days−$660
14 days−$663
30 days−$802
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 4PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 13, 7AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 11AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 5PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 9AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$20 -114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 8PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 9AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$4 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$613
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -53.2% -57.7% 36% 22% -84.6%
≤30d 242 -11.6% -20.0% 66% 60% -28.1%
≤90d 242 -11.6% -20.0% 66% 60% -28.1%
all 1201 -2.1% -11.4% 91% 12% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 12% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 5% -19.1%
15% -27.7% 3% -26.9%
20% -34.7% 2% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records