Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:59:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6981…17d2
crypto · 631 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$153 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$153 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$153
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses371 / 260
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)631 / 631
History coverage22d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day70.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 631 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$49
30 days−$153
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -49%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 02 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 02 $18 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 02 $35 −$13 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 02 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 02 $8 +$9 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 02 $43 −$15 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 02 $12 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 02 $26 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 02 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 02 $12 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 02 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 02 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 02 $10 +$8 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 02 $9 −$6 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 02 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$3 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 02 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 02 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 02 $22 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 02 $23 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 02 $26 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 02 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 01 $3 −$1 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$152
other 0% $0
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 11h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $7 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $6 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -35.6% -41.8% 38% 38% -31.2%
≤30d 631 -5.6% -14.6% 59% 48% -14.4%
≤90d 631 -5.6% -14.6% 59% 48% -14.4%
all 631 -5.6% -14.6% 59% 48% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 48% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 36% -22.6%
15% -30.2% 27% -30.1%
20% -37.1% 18% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1669 history records