Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x6982…a165
sports · 900 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$2,411 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,400 · open +$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,844
Realized+$2,400
Unrealized+$12
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses691 / 208
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$8,642
Open positions1
Markets (closed)899 / 900
History coverage48d
Avg bet$2,119
Trades / day47.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 899 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24,720
7 days+$24,006
14 days−$53,956
30 days−$14,305
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 79¢ 79¢ $2,833 $2,844 +$12 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Cavaliers 81¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5 Under 88¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 76¢ 0¢ $1,873 $0 −$1,873 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $6,200 $0 −$6,200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $733 $0 −$733 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 Under 94¢ 0¢ $470 $0 −$470 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone Felix Auger-Aliassime 38¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $969 $0 −$969 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Paris FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5 Under 70¢ 0¢ $1,020 $0 −$1,020 (-100%)
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics Chicago Sky 63¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5 Under 86¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5 Under 81¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Connecticut Sun 65¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Centurion: Semen Pankin vs Eliakim Coulibaly Semen Pankin 59¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Dominik Palan Dominik Palan 9¢ 0¢ $497 $0 −$497 (-100%)
Bratislava: Hynek Barton vs Buvaysar Gadamauri Buvaysar Gadamauri 94¢ 0¢ $1,160 $0 −$1,160 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Hubert Hurkacz 69¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $1,761 +$1,090 +62%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $8,069 +$8,872 +110%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $2,535 +$10,355 +408%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mia Horvit vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato Jun 12 $2,580 −$2,552 -99%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $1,824 +$756 +42%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $1,632 +$194 +12%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $1,504 +$125 +8%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $1,334 +$174 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1,004 +$62 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $772 −$733 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1,029 −$1,000 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1,501 +$19 +1%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $1,644 +$137 +8%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $1,406 +$239 +17%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $1,322 +$80 +6%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $1,201 +$128 +11%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $1,097 +$386 +35%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $1,000 +$97 +10%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $4,425 +$9,212 +208%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $7,753 −$7,654 -99%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $6,868 +$899 +13%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $6,004 +$863 +14%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $5,807 +$172 +3%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $5,008 +$825 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $1,001 +$9 +1%
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Nao Nishino Jun 11 $2,861 +$5,904 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $1,001 +$19 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $1,004 +$59 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $1,001 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $2,001 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $2,002 +$22 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $2,004 +$58 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $657 −$635 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $2,011 +$158 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $2,026 +$439 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $1,021 −$1,000 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $2,034 +$604 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $5,042 +$736 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $2,021 −$2,000 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $2,023 +$426 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $2,005 +$75 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $1,911 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $6,042 +$649 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $2,002 +$32 +2%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $3,326 −$3,276 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2,015 +$574 +28%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $3,028 −$2,000 -66%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $1,004 +$158 +16%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $4,258 +$916 +22%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $3,890 +$369 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% +$72,068
crypto 46% −$70,211
other 0% +$554
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 79¢ $2,851 21m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 100¢ $2,850 22m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 61¢ $1,761 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 100¢ $16,941 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 23¢ $1,023 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 41¢ $1,018 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 34¢ $982 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 69¢ $5,047 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 99¢ $12,890 2h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mia Horvit vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato BUY Mia Horvit 63¢ $1,607 6h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mia Horvit vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato BUY Mia Horvit 64¢ $973 6h
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang SELL Yujia Huang 100¢ $2,580 6h
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Yujia Huang 70¢ $1,824 6h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito SELL Sara Saito 100¢ $1,826 6h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 89¢ $1,632 8h
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li SELL Zongyu Li 99¢ $1,629 8h
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li BUY Zongyu Li 91¢ $1,504 8h
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta SELL Pawit Sornlaksup 100¢ $1,508 8h
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta BUY Pawit Sornlaksup 87¢ $331 8h
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta BUY Pawit Sornlaksup 88¢ $502 8h
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta BUY Pawit Sornlaksup 89¢ $502 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1,004 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $304 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $141 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $327 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1,029 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $501 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,001 9h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire SELL Las Vegas Aces 100¢ $1,781 10h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 92¢ $1,644 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 +3.0% -6.8% 90% 28% -4.5%
≤30d 832 -2.0% -11.3% 77% 47% -10.3%
≤90d 899 -2.0% -11.3% 77% 47% -9.4%
all 899 -2.0% -11.3% 77% 47% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 47% -9.4%
10% -19.8% 29% -18.1%
15% ← realistic here -27.5% 17% -26.0%
20% -34.6% 11% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,844.38 · official $2,844.38 (match) · 2641 history records