Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:40:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x699b…0296
other · 210 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$14 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$60
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$361
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$60
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses43 / 143
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions24
Markets (closed)186 / 210
History coverage55d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day52.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit8%
Chart Positions 24 History 186 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$64
7 days+$156
14 days+$191
30 days+$139
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 19¢ 26¢ $50 $70 +$21 (+41%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 11¢ 18¢ $39 $63 +$24 (+61%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 21¢ 26¢ $32 $39 +$6 (+19%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 5¢ 8¢ $25 $37 +$13 (+51%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $26 $26 +$0 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $23 $21 −$2 (-9%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $13 $17 +$4 (+27%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $17 $15 −$1 (-7%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 16¢ 18¢ $11 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $11 $9 −$2 (-21%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $7 $6 −$2 (-22%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-14%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 51¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+96%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 94¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 88¢ 97¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 82¢ 88¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 98¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-43%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-34%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-20%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on May 21? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $44 +$200 +452%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $29 −$28 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $46 −$44 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $62 −$58 -93%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $32 +$14 +43%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $22 −$6 -28%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $7 −$6 -83%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $35 +$208 +595%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $27 −$23 -87%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $39 −$36 -93%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -51%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 09 $7 −$3 -46%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $17 −$15 -92%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 08 $2 $0 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $9 −$8 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $36 −$12 -34%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $4 −$4 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $2 $0 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $3 $0 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -47%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $1 $0 -23%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 05 $15 −$7 -50%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $26 +$104 +393%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $29 −$26 -90%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $15 −$14 -90%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $9 −$7 -84%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $17 −$7 -42%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $2 $0 +11%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $3 −$2 -84%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $6 −$5 -86%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 03 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $6 −$1 -17%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $27 +$130 +485%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 01 $28 −$27 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 01 $29 −$28 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 01 $22 −$21 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 01 $16 −$16 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 31 $14 −$14 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 31 $12 −$12 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 30 $10 −$9 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? May 30 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? May 30 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $3 +$12 +477%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 98% +$39
weather 1% −$15
crypto 1% −$9
sports 0% −$4
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 37m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 37m
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $3 1h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 1h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +56.6% +41.7% 30% 15% +36.8%
≤30d 113 +4.4% -5.6% 25% 19% +5.6%
≤90d 186 -21.3% -28.8% 23% 18% -7.2%
all 186 -21.3% -28.8% 23% 18% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.8% 18% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -35.6% 16% -16.1%
15% -41.9% 15% -24.2%
20% -47.6% 13% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $360.96 · official $359.45 (match) · 2888 history records