Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T18:13:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x69ab…0c52 crypto 1512 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d only
✗ bot/MM pace (245 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$288 (-8%) realized −$288 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate78%1229W / 353L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day245.4pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$381
7 days−$455
14 days−$478
30 days−$478
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$157
other 6% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (245 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1052 -10.8% -19.3% 70% 18% -23.6%
≤30d 1582 -7.4% -16.2% 78% 15% -20.5%
≤90d 1582 -7.4% -16.2% 78% 15% -20.5%
all 1582 -7.4% -16.2% 78% 15% -20.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover245.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 15% -20.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 3% -28.1%
15% -31.6% 1% -35.0%
20% -38.3% 0% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
76% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.33 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$288
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1229 / 353
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1582 / 1512
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day245.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1582 Trades
no open positions (163 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$15 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $43 −$43 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 9m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $0 29m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records