Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69b0…029a
other · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses1 / 6
Open positions2
Markets (closed)7 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 2 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+7%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-19%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? Jun 14 $2 $0 -17%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $1 $0 -21%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $6 −$5 -80%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals Jun 13 $1 +$2 +177%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -37%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 50m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 51m
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 52m
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 12¢ $1 3h
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals SELL Yes 99¢ $3 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 5h
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals BUY Yes 35¢ $1 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 6h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 6h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 7h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 8h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 12h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 12h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 25h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-28.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -21.1% -28.6% 14% 14% -52.3%
≤30d 7 -21.1% -28.6% 14% 14% -52.3%
≤90d 7 -21.1% -28.6% 14% 14% -52.3%
all 7 -21.1% -28.6% 14% 14% -52.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.6% 14% -52.3%
10% -35.4% 14% -56.8%
15% -41.7% 14% -61.0%
20% -47.4% 14% -64.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.24 · official $11.24 (match) · 18 history records