Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:56:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69be…a0b5
crypto · 286 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$88 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$83 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$83
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses153 / 131
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)284 / 286
History coverage234d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 2 History 284 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 62¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-03-12? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 20? Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$7 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$16 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$9
sports 12% −$20
other 11% −$40
world 3% −$14
tech 2% +$3
finance 1% −$9
politics 0% −$3
weather 0% +$2
culture 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 -8.3% -17.0% 55% 46% -9.9%
≤30d 200 -7.2% -16.0% 54% 48% -8.8%
≤90d 230 -9.6% -18.2% 54% 49% -11.5%
all 284 -14.3% -22.5% 54% 46% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.5% 46% -15.1%
10% -29.9% 39% -23.2%
15% -36.6% 32% -30.6%
20% -42.9% 25% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.99 · official $2.80 (match) · 608 history records