Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:12:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69c0…30f9
crypto · 96 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$304 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$304 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$304
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses48 / 47
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)95 / 96
History coverage8d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day34.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 95 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$131
7 days−$130
14 days−$304
30 days−$304
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio Nava Guy Den Ouden 46¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duran Tuncay Duran 43¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$17 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $41 +$80 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -48%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $101 +$40 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$15 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $60 +$20 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$23 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $56 +$24 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $36 −$35 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 08 $51 +$26 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 08 $57 −$55 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 08 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 08 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 08 $26 +$15 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 08 $31 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $52 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 08 $56 −$55 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 08 $36 −$12 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $36 −$30 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 08 $15 +$8 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 08 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 08 $23 −$8 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 08 $26 +$19 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 08 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 08 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 08 $31 +$18 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$400
sports 15% +$34
other 3% +$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY 37¢ $153 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $62 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 3h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $41 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $63 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-30.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -17.1% -25.0% 54% 42% -15.8%
≤30d 95 -23.0% -30.4% 51% 39% -22.6%
≤90d 95 -23.0% -30.4% 51% 39% -22.6%
all 95 -23.0% -30.4% 51% 39% -22.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.4% 39% -22.6%
10% ← realistic here -37.0% 34% -30.0%
15% -43.1% 25% -36.7%
20% -48.7% 19% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $150.00 · 305 history records