Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:42:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69c4…6779
sports · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$57 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open −$19
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$63
Unrealized−$19
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses3 / 4
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)7 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days−$63
14 days−$63
30 days−$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $9 +$11 +117%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $73 −$73 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $8 +$22 +300%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $8 +$2 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 66% −$93
sports 34% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 18¢ $4 51m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 18¢ $1 51m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $16 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5 BUY Over 36¢ $0 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5 BUY Over 36¢ $14 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5 BUY Over 36¢ $5 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $27 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 47¢ $14 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $9 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $30 8h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 8h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 75¢ $8 10h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 25¢ $8 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +7.2% -3.0% 43% 43% -55.7%
≤30d 7 +7.2% -3.0% 43% 43% -55.7%
≤90d 7 +7.2% -3.0% 43% 43% -55.7%
all 7 +7.2% -3.0% 43% 43% -55.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.0% 43% -55.7%
10% -12.3% 43% -60.0%
15% -20.7% 29% -63.8%
20% -28.5% 29% -67.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 18 history records