Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:13:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

69
0x69c7…b03c
crypto · 529 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$12,273 +269%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12,273 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$2
Realized+$12,273
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses35 / 498
Open positions0
Markets (closed)533 / 529
History coverage10d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day353.2
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 533 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,924
7 days+$12,384
14 days+$12,273
30 days+$12,273
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+2400%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+3232%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +2404%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +3234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $79 −$79 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$14,925
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up $20 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up $9 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down $0 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down $0 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down $0 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up $1 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up $1 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up $3 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up $0 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up $0 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up $20 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up $9 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $2 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down $0 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)+21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 528 +31.0% +18.6% 6% 6% +67.5%
≤30d 533 +33.7% +21.0% 7% 7% +62.5%
≤90d 533 +33.7% +21.0% 7% 7% +62.5%
all 533 +33.7% +21.0% 7% 7% +62.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover353.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +21.0% 7% +62.5%
10% ← realistic here +9.4% 7% +47.0%
15% -1.1% 7% +32.8%
20% -10.8% 7% +19.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.51 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records