trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 20 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -19.0% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 22 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Jun 22 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee | Jun 22 | $1,287 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be less than $150B at market close on IP | Jun 22 | $1,211 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 18 | $227 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 17 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | Apr 17 | $7 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 16 | $8 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | Apr 16 | $226 | $0 | -0% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Apr 16 | $222 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Mar 31 | $195 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | Mar 31 | $83 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 1? | Mar 31 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | Mar 27 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 27 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 27 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Mar 24 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 24 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | Mar 24 | $19 | $0 | -0% |