Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:45:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
69 0x69f5…1c3d crypto 43 markets active 2h ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (864 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$24,968 (+100%) realized +$24,968 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +50% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +15% what you keep after slip
Net edge+15%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate12%26W / 183L
Whale WR13%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$579per market
Trades / day863.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$9,636now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$6,771
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (864 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)+35.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 209 +49.5% +35.3% 12% 12% -67.8%
≤30d 209 +49.5% +35.3% 12% 12% -67.8%
≤90d 209 +49.5% +35.3% 12% 12% -67.8%
all 209 +49.5% +35.3% 12% 12% -67.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover863.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +35.3% 12% -67.8%
10% ← realistic here +22.3% 11% -70.8%
15% +10.5% 11% -73.7%
20% -0.3% 11% -76.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -65% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +49% · $-wt -65% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 13% (≥$542) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -49% → late +147% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
73.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$900 vs −$448 · ×2.01 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.29 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$9,636
Realized+$24,968
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses26 / 183
Whale WR (big bets)13%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)209 / 43
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$579
Trades / day863.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 209 Trades
no open positions (210 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $649 −$649 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $689 +$1,161 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $169 −$169 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$62 +17581%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $750 −$750 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $40 −$385 -974%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$48 +17390%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $1,033 −$1,033 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $1,568 −$1,568 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $324 −$324 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $344 −$344 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$58 -37176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$55 +38599%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $214 −$214 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $1,862 −$1,862 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$97 +119560%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $338 −$338 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$14 -23652%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $1,062 −$1,062 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $170 −$171 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $437 −$437 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$60 +4188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $321 −$321 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $217 −$217 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $342 −$342 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $624 −$598 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $181 −$181 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$31 +14403%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $432 −$432 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $693 −$693 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$53 -10102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $678 −$678 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $869 −$731 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $343 −$343 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $635 −$635 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$283 -42866%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $1,823 −$1,823 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $1,128 −$1,128 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $106 −$106 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,636.49 · official $9,626.51 (match) · 3500 history records