Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:07:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a0c…eebf
sports · 308 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$28 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses229 / 75
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions4
Markets (closed)304 / 308
History coverage76d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 4 History 304 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$33
14 days−$33
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Over 92¢ 92¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Over 96¢ 96¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 71¢ 70¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score Yes 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5 Over 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5 Over 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw? No 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5 Over 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 Over 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5 Over 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
SD Huesca vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? No 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Udinese Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Over 75¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$5 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +34%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 198.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% +$13
crypto 15% −$31
other 9% +$1
world 1% −$9
finance 1% +$8
politics 1% −$5
tech 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $4 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $5 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $5 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $4 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -14.0% -22.2% 58% 42% -20.2%
≤30d 132 -6.1% -15.1% 73% 58% -15.0%
≤90d 304 -1.8% -11.2% 75% 64% -11.0%
all 304 -1.8% -11.2% 75% 64% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 64% -11.0%
10% -19.7% 30% -19.6%
15% -27.4% 15% -27.3%
20% -34.6% 7% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.93 · official $18.93 (match) · 653 history records