Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a2c…136b
other · 1434 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$892 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,430 · open −$538
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,068
Realized+$1,430
Unrealized−$538
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1407 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1430 / 1434
History coverage27d
Avg bet$216
Trades / day74.9
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 4 History 1430 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$74
7 days+$171
14 days+$345
30 days+$1,430
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 50¢ 77¢ $1,000 $1,536 +$536 (+54%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50¢ 23¢ $1,000 $464 −$536 (-54%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Under 100¢ 93¢ $40 $37 −$3 (-7%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? Yes 1¢ 50¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+4491%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game Handicap: ONIC (-2.5) vs Geek Fam ID (+2.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: ONIC (-1.5) vs Geek Fam ID (+1.5) Jun 12 $500 $0 +0%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? Jun 12 $250 +$6 +2%
Llaverias vs. Nuudi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A Jun 12 $250 $0 -0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $749 +$1 +0%
Set Handicap: Bielinska (-1.5) vs Mi (+1.5) Jun 12 $94 $0 +0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $148 +$1 +1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria - Completed match? Jun 12 $174 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) Jun 12 $1,053 +$1 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $780 +$1 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $285 $0 +0%
Will the match end in a draw? Jun 12 $14 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: BTR (-2.5) vs Team Liquid ID (+2.5) Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Santiago vs. Maquet: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $80 $0 +0%
Will "Lorde" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? Jun 12 $24 $0 +0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $124 +$1 +1%
Mettraux vs. Stankovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $80 $0 +0%
Cuenin vs. Mashtakov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $80 $0 +0%
Shiraishi vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $81 +$1 +2%
Iatcenko vs. Milanese: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $163 +$2 +1%
Adam Hložek: 3+ shots Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Set 2 Winner: Panshina vs Saito Jun 12 $137 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 $0 +1%
Will "Hayley Williams" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? Jun 12 $551 +$1 +0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Sornlaksup vs. Chanta: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Pawit Sornlaksup vs. Thanapet Chanta: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Sornlaksup vs. Chanta: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Sornlaksup vs. Chanta: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Pavel Šulc: 3+ shots Jun 12 $44 $0 +0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $23 $0 +2%
Yang Hyunjun: 1+ goals Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Kim Jingyu: 1+ goals Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Denis Višinský: 1+ goals Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Adam Hložek: 2+ goals Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Adam Hložek: 1+ goals Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$1 +1%
Mookie Betts: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $14 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% +$937
other 26% +$338
politics 17% −$483
tech 2% +$73
weather 1% +$7
crypto 1% +$9
finance 1% +$3
world 1% +$5
economics 1% +$2
culture 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $40 1h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 BUY Under 100¢ $30 1h
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A SELL Yes 100¢ $249 2h
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? BUY No 100¢ $141 2h
Game Handicap: ONIC (-2.5) vs Geek Fam ID (+2.5) BUY ONIC 100¢ $30 2h
Game Handicap: ONIC (-1.5) vs Geek Fam ID (+1.5) BUY ONIC 100¢ $500 2h
Llaverias vs. Nuudi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $40 2h
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? SELL No 100¢ $5 2h
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? SELL No 100¢ $5 2h
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? SELL No 100¢ $5 2h
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan? SELL No 100¢ $5 2h
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A BUY Yes 100¢ $250 3h
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $148 3h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $250 3h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $250 3h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $250 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $150 4h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $40 4h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 100¢ $40 4h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $50 4h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria - Completed match? BUY Yes 100¢ $174 4h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) BUY TheMongolz 100¢ $50 4h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) BUY ex-RUBY 100¢ $803 5h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $50 5h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) BUY ex-RUBY 100¢ $250 5h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $281 5h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $500 5h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $20 5h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $285 6h
Santiago vs. Maquet: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $80 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 438 +0.3% -9.3% 99% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 1430 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 1% -9.1%
≤90d 1430 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 1% -9.1%
all 1430 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 1% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 1% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 0% -17.8%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.7%
20% -32.9% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,068.23 · official $2,068.23 (match) · 3500 history records