Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:51:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a2d…a82d
crypto · 506 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$327 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$322 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55
Realized−$322
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses203 / 303
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions4
Markets (closed)506 / 506
History coverage6d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day470.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 506 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$226
7 days−$322
14 days−$322
30 days−$322
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 24¢ 42¢ $20 $35 +$15 (+73%)
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 26¢ 20¢ $26 $20 −$6 (-21%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 29¢ 1¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-98%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 83¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? No 57¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $17 +$3 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$10 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$7 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$4 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$20 +175%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$7 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$6 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -30%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$12 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$6 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$4 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$17 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +116%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$2 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -30%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$18 -27%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$11 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$7 -27%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$12 +54%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$9 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$15 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$12 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$293
sports 3% +$4
other 1% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 506 +6.2% -3.9% 40% 35% -12.3%
≤30d 506 +6.2% -3.9% 40% 35% -12.3%
≤90d 506 +6.2% -3.9% 40% 35% -12.3%
all 506 +6.2% -3.9% 40% 35% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover470.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.9% 35% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -13.1% 32% -20.7%
15% -21.5% 25% -28.4%
20% -29.2% 19% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.46 · official $55.36 (match) · 3500 history records