Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:13:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6A 0x6a30…9eac crypto 384 markets active 7d ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (371 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$3,993 (+23%) realized +$3,993 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate51%197W / 188L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day370.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$242now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,248
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (371 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +4.2% -5.7% 54% 50% -17.5%
≤30d 385 -6.0% -14.9% 51% 45% -16.0%
≤90d 385 -6.0% -14.9% 51% 45% -16.0%
all 385 -6.0% -14.9% 51% 45% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover370.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 45% -16.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 39% -24.0%
15% -30.5% 30% -31.4%
20% -37.3% 20% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$25 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$242
Realized+$3,993
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses197 / 188
Open positions0
Markets (closed)385 / 384
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$46
Trades / day370.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 385 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $289 −$118 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$21 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$32 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$52 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$29 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$29 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $60 +$53 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$14 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$23 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $134 −$63 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$20 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$4 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$9 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$37 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$19 +107%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$25 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $86 +$43 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$35 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$9 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $89 −$43 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$15 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $68 +$20 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$13 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$5 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$9 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $146 −$36 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$5 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$5 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$6 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$8 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $98 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $143 −$21 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$33 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $69 +$12 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$15 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$7 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$41 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$8 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $18 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $16 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $67 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $18 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $22 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $16 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $19 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $25 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $16 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $17 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $17 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $20 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $16 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $27 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $20 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $16 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $17 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $21 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $17 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $19 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $17 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $16 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $16 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $18 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $16 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $18 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $17 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $17 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $16 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $241.64 · official $241.64 (match) · 3500 history records