Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:38:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a3b…7edc
crypto · 466 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$529 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$615 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$615
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses235 / 231
Open positions0
Markets (closed)466 / 466
History coverage512d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 466 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$195
7 days−$195
14 days−$195
30 days−$195
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$6 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$8 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$23 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$19 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$10 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $31 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$17 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$24 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$556
politics 1% −$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $15 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -14.7% -22.9% 49% 46% -32.5%
≤30d 61 -14.7% -22.9% 49% 46% -32.5%
≤90d 61 -14.7% -22.9% 49% 46% -32.5%
all 466 -10.1% -18.7% 50% 45% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.7% 45% -19.6%
10% -26.5% 39% -27.3%
15% -33.6% 34% -34.3%
20% -40.1% 23% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1800 history records