Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:08:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a3d…0b70
sports · 54 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$205 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$205 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Net worth$0
Realized−$205
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses48 / 6
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)54 / 54
History coverage11d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day7.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$47
14 days−$205
30 days−$205
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 94¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Calvin Hemery Calvin Hemery 91¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Madrid: Marta Soriano Santiago vs Margaux Maquet Jun 12 $100 +$10 +10%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar Jun 12 $100 +$4 +4%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $65 +$3 +5%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $200 +$5 +2%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Taisei Ichikawa Jun 12 $100 +$7 +7%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $100 +$3 +3%
ITF Guimaraes: Savannah Broadus vs Yeon Woo Ku Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
ITF Kayseri: Adhithya Ganesan vs Kerem Yilmaz Jun 11 $50 +$3 +7%
ITF Hurghada: Sara Milanese vs Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz Jun 11 $50 +$5 +11%
ITF San Gregorio: Camilla Gennaro vs Anastasia Abbagnato Jun 11 $100 +$3 +3%
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Mariam Bolkvadze Jun 10 $100 +$2 +2%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Matei Florin Breazu vs Julio Cesar Porras Jun 10 $100 +$8 +8%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 10 $100 +$3 +3%
ITF Kayseri: Haydar Cem Gokpinar vs Cemil Tugra Duran Jun 10 $100 +$4 +4%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu David Turcanu vs Anas Mazdrashki Jun 10 $200 +$5 +2%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Corentin Denolly vs Radovan Michalik Jun 10 $100 +$1 +1%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Maria Oliver Sanchez Jun 10 $100 +$2 +2%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 09 $100 −$47 -47%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $100 +$4 +4%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Leyton Rivera vs Timeo Trufelli Jun 09 $200 +$3 +1%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova Jun 09 $100 +$2 +2%
ITF Kayseri: Ui Su Jeong vs Kateryna Diatlova Jun 09 $100 +$2 +2%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $100 +$8 +8%
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios Jun 08 $104 $0 +0%
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Bora Sengul Jun 05 $100 +$3 +3%
ITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova Jun 05 $100 −$64 -64%
ITF Focsani: Ana Ioana Varsa vs Anastasia Safta Jun 05 $100 +$4 +4%
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva Jun 05 $100 +$4 +4%
Makarska: Lola Radivojevic vs Mia Ristic Jun 05 $60 +$9 +15%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $50 +$2 +3%
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Erika Andreeva Jun 04 $70 +$4 +5%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Viola Turini Jun 04 $100 +$5 +5%
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Mary Stoiana Jun 04 $201 −$47 -24%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $150 +$9 +6%
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia Dudeney Jun 04 $100 +$6 +6%
ITF Kayseri: Bora Sengul vs Tarun Karra Jun 04 $100 +$8 +8%
Birmingham: Ashlyn Krueger vs Himeno Sakatsume Jun 03 $90 +$2 +2%
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Maddison Inglis Jun 03 $100 +$1 +1%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $100 +$4 +4%
Birmingham: Tatjana Maria vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 03 $100 +$3 +3%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Manon Leonard vs Karman Kaur Thandi Jun 03 $100 +$5 +5%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 03 $100 +$7 +7%
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luka Pavlovic Jun 02 $100 +$7 +7%
Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Calvin Hemery Jun 02 $100 −$100 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 02 $150 −$150 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $150 +$6 +4%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 02 $150 +$14 +10%
Heilbronn: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Pedro Martinez Jun 01 $50 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$205
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Madrid: Marta Soriano Santiago vs Margaux Maquet BUY Marta Soriano Santiago 97¢ $50 2h
ITF Madrid: Marta Soriano Santiago vs Margaux Maquet BUY Marta Soriano Santiago 85¢ $50 2h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 97¢ $50 2h
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova BUY Katarina Kuzmova 95¢ $65 3h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 97¢ $100 3h
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar BUY Haydar Cem Gokpinar 96¢ $100 3h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 98¢ $100 3h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 97¢ $100 4h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Taisei Ichikawa BUY Naoya Honda 94¢ $100 8h
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio BUY Nuria Brancaccio 97¢ $100 23h
ITF Guimaraes: Savannah Broadus vs Yeon Woo Ku SELL Savannah Broadus 100¢ $101 23h
ITF Kayseri: Adhithya Ganesan vs Kerem Yilmaz SELL Adhithya Ganesan 100¢ $54 23h
ITF Guimaraes: Savannah Broadus vs Yeon Woo Ku BUY Savannah Broadus 99¢ $100 24h
ITF Hurghada: Sara Milanese vs Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz BUY Sara Milanese 90¢ $50 27h
ITF Kayseri: Adhithya Ganesan vs Kerem Yilmaz BUY Adhithya Ganesan 93¢ $50 28h
ITF San Gregorio: Camilla Gennaro vs Anastasia Abbagnato BUY Camilla Gennaro 97¢ $100 28h
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Mariam Bolkvadze BUY Francisca Jorge 98¢ $100 47h
ITF Curtea de Arges: Matei Florin Breazu vs Julio Cesar Porras SELL Matei Florin Breazu 100¢ $109 2d
ITF Curtea de Arges: Matei Florin Breazu vs Julio Cesar Porras BUY Matei Florin Breazu 92¢ $100 2d
ITF Kayseri: Haydar Cem Gokpinar vs Cemil Tugra Duran SELL Haydar Cem Gokpinar 100¢ $104 2d
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu David Turcanu vs Anas Mazdrashki SELL Anas Mazdrashki 100¢ $205 2d
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio BUY Raul Brancaccio 97¢ $100 2d
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Corentin Denolly vs Radovan Michalik SELL Corentin Denolly 100¢ $101 2d
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu David Turcanu vs Anas Mazdrashki BUY Anas Mazdrashki 97¢ $100 2d
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Maria Oliver Sanchez SELL Ariana Arseneault 100¢ $102 2d
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu David Turcanu vs Anas Mazdrashki BUY Anas Mazdrashki 98¢ $100 2d
ITF Kayseri: Haydar Cem Gokpinar vs Cemil Tugra Duran BUY Haydar Cem Gokpinar 96¢ $100 2d
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Corentin Denolly vs Radovan Michalik BUY Corentin Denolly 99¢ $100 2d
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Maria Oliver Sanchez BUY Ariana Arseneault 98¢ $100 2d
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp SELL Tallon Griekspoor 49¢ $23 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +2.0% -7.7% 96% 4% -8.0%
≤30d 54 -2.3% -11.6% 89% 4% -12.9%
≤90d 54 -2.3% -11.6% 89% 4% -12.9%
all 54 -2.3% -11.6% 89% 4% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 4% -12.9%
10% -20.0% 0% -21.2%
15% -27.8% 0% -28.9%
20% -34.8% 0% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 121 history records