trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +20% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $1 | +$2 | +178% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers | Jun 06 | $2 | +$2 | +107% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $4 | −$2 | -48% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Jun 03 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 03 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli | Jun 03 | $8 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 03 | $3 | −$1 | -33% |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 03 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Jun 02 | $11 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? | Jun 02 | $6 | −$5 | -94% |
| T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India | Jun 02 | $3 | −$3 | -88% |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | Jun 02 | $16 | −$15 | -97% |
| T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh | Jun 02 | $16 | +$4 | +26% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | Jun 02 | $19 | −$5 | -24% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1? | Jun 01 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? | Jun 01 | $3 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? | May 31 | $6 | −$6 | -96% |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters E | May 31 | $6 | −$6 | -96% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $17 | +$12 | +68% |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters E | May 30 | $4 | +$2 | +38% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska | May 30 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykova | May 30 | $11 | +$2 | +23% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +101.7% | +82.5% | 100% | 100% | +81.0% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -33.1% | -39.5% | 33% | 29% | -36.9% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -33.1% | -39.5% | 33% | 29% | -36.9% |
| all | 24 | -33.1% | -39.5% | 33% | 29% | -36.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.5% | 29% | -36.9% |
| 10% | -45.3% | 25% | -42.9% |
| 15% | -50.6% | 17% | -48.4% |
| 20% | -55.4% | 12% | -53.5% |