Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:38:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a51…a98f
sports · 7 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$123 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$171 · open −$53
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$172
Realized+$171
Unrealized−$53
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions3
Markets (closed)4 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$171
7 days+$171
14 days+$171
30 days+$171
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ 54¢ $110 $109 −$1 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 63¢ 30¢ $100 $48 −$52 (-52%)
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score Yes 57¢ 56¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Jun 14 $10 +$4 +40%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin Jun 14 $40 +$15 +38%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Jun 14 $69 +$33 +47%
ITF Madrid: Ruth Roura Llaverias vs Briyana Ivanova Jun 14 $102 +$119 +117%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$118
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $112 5m
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 57¢ $15 27m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel SELL Diane Parry 91¢ $14 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin SELL Anhelina Kalinina 87¢ $56 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 67¢ $69 9h
ITF Madrid: Ruth Roura Llaverias vs Briyana Ivanova BUY Ruth Roura Llaverias 45¢ $102 9h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 63¢ $101 9h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin BUY Anhelina Kalinina 62¢ $40 9h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 64¢ $10 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+45.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +60.7% +45.4% 100% 100% +60.4%
≤30d 4 +60.7% +45.4% 100% 100% +60.4%
≤90d 4 +60.7% +45.4% 100% 100% +60.4%
all 4 +60.7% +45.4% 100% 100% +60.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +45.4% 100% +60.4%
10% +31.5% 100% +45.1%
15% +18.8% 100% +31.0%
20% +7.1% 25% +18.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $172.13 · official $172.13 (match) · 11 history records