Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:02:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6A 0x6a55…2b27 crypto 504 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (235 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$6,832 (+135%) realized +$6,832 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate49%244W / 259L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day234.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$676now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$128
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (235 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 503 -9.5% -18.1% 49% 46% -11.9%
≤30d 503 -9.5% -18.1% 49% 46% -11.9%
≤90d 503 -9.5% -18.1% 49% 46% -11.9%
all 503 -9.5% -18.1% 49% 46% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover234.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 46% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 39% -20.4%
15% -33.1% 32% -28.1%
20% -39.7% 23% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$676
Realized+$6,832
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses244 / 259
Open positions1
Markets (closed)503 / 504
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day234.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 503 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 23¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 81 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$4 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$2 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $14 −$6 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$4 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$6 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$4 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +120%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$4 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$2 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$2 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $18 −$6 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $12 −$4 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$2 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$2 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$3 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$8 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$2 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$6 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$2 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $14 −$4 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$4 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$2 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 18 $12 −$4 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $14 −$4 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$2 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $675.58 · official $676.88 (match) · 3500 history records