Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:11:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a59…6ec3
crypto · 14 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses5 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$3 +323%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $3 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -7.4% -16.2% 36% 21% -18.7%
≤30d 14 -7.4% -16.2% 36% 21% -18.7%
≤90d 14 -7.4% -16.2% 36% 21% -18.7%
all 14 -7.4% -16.2% 36% 21% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.2% 21% -18.7%
10% -24.2% 7% -26.5%
15% -31.6% 7% -33.6%
20% -38.3% 7% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 33 history records