Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T05:06:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
6A 0x6a62…fde7 crypto 1350 markets active 2h ago coverage 66d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 66d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$4,336 (+2%) realized +$4,336 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate44%600W / 750L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown8%max
Avg bet$138per market
Trades / day30.6pace
Kalshi-fit78%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$114
7 days+$478
14 days+$1,123
30 days+$1,958
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$4,247
other 0% −$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +2.6% -7.2% 100% 7% -7.6%
≤30d 72 +2.0% -7.7% 100% 1% -7.9%
≤90d 1350 -10.2% -18.7% 44% 34% -7.5%
all 1350 -10.2% -18.7% 44% 34% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 34% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 34% -16.4%
15% -33.6% 33% -24.4%
20% -40.1% 32% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -4% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$2 · ×4.67 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×3.74 per $1 lost it wins $3.74
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

66d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,336
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses600 / 750
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1350 / 1350
History coverage66d ⚠
Avg bet$138
Trades / day30.6
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit78%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1350 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 26 $3,725 +$51 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 25 $3,739 +$38 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 25 $17 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 24 $1,521 +$18 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 24 $535 +$8 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $983 +$68 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $3,696 +$37 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 22 $2,339 +$56 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 21 $525 +$16 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 21 $322 +$4 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 21 $502 +$7 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $256 +$6 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 19 $1,201 +$16 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 19 $1,079 +$129 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 19 $2,421 +$23 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $3,560 +$36 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 19 $161 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 19 $103 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $727 +$21 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $253 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 18 $3,443 +$138 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $294 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 18 $3,211 +$33 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 18 $827 +$17 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $690 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $930 +$44 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $3,502 +$33 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $266 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $414 +$6 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $340 +$30 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $3,476 +$35 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,073 +$10 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $292 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1,373 +$13 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $3,120 +$30 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3,443 +$35 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $319 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $357 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $520 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3,387 +$64 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2,286 +$23 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1,913 +$18 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $395 +$9 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $574 +$7 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $36 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $1,013 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $3,382 +$34 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $2,749 +$28 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $105 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $84 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $111 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $145 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $111 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2,288 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3,739 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 38h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records