Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T04:46:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6A 0x6a68…7df7 crypto 558 markets active 2h ago coverage 76d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$107 (+0%) realized +$107 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate90%504W / 54L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$60per market
Trades / day18.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$96
14 days+$30
30 days+$97
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +3.5% -6.4% 97% 3% -6.6%
≤30d 191 +0.5% -9.1% 97% 1% -9.1%
≤90d 558 +0.2% -9.3% 90% 1% -9.6%
all 558 +0.2% -9.3% 90% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 1% -9.6%
10% -18.0% 1% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$15 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

76d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$107
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses504 / 54
Open positions0
Markets (closed)558 / 558
History coverage76d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day18.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 558 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 26 $34 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $34 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 25 $33 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $33 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 25 $32 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 25 $32 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 25 $69 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 25 $31 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 24 $172 +$6 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 24 $65 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $250 +$9 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 24 $10 +$2 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 24 $250 +$7 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $183 +$7 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 23 $251 +$11 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 23 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $41 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $41 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 22 $250 +$11 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 22 $196 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 22 $250 +$10 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 20 $250 +$5 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 20 $41 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $51 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $186 +$5 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 19 $117 +$5 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $72 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $83 +$3 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $92 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $251 +$10 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $250 +$5 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $66 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $199 −$114 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $351 +$13 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $350 +$9 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$5 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $76 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $35 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $34 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $34 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $34 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $33 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $19 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $33 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $34 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $32 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $71 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $69 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $31 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $31 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $31 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $30 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $31 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $31 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $31 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $29 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2931 history records