Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:47:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a6d…df5a
crypto · 85 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$98 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$107 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized+$107
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses45 / 39
Open positions1
Markets (closed)84 / 85
History coverage2d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day64.6
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 84 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$101
7 days+$107
14 days+$107
30 days+$107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 48¢ 34¢ $30 $21 −$9 (-30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$26 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$20 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$13 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$27 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$13 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$28 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$11 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$13 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$10 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$23 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$16 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$23 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$25 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$22 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$30 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$26 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$37 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$23 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$20 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$28 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$24 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$30 +146%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $15 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $15 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $16 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 +6.0% -4.1% 54% 52% -3.1%
≤30d 84 +6.0% -4.1% 54% 52% -3.1%
≤90d 84 +6.0% -4.1% 54% 52% -3.1%
all 84 +6.0% -4.1% 54% 52% -3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 52% -3.1%
10% ← realistic here -13.3% 51% -12.4%
15% -21.7% 51% -20.9%
20% -29.3% 50% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.02 · official $26.29 · 196 history records