trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 80¢ | $1,787 | $5,993 | +$4,207 (+235%) |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 20¢ | $427 | $774 | +$347 (+81%) |
| Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $794 | $0 | −$794 (-100%) |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders | Islanders | 58¢ | 0¢ | $22,631 | $0 | −$22,631 (-100%) |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $21,875 | $0 | −$21,875 (-100%) |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Flyers | 53¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Senators | 66¢ | 0¢ | $99,000 | $0 | −$99,000 (-100%) |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Boston Red Sox | 40¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | 76ers | 57¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 55¢ | 0¢ | $496,060 | $0 | −$496,060 (-100%) |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $2,231 | $0 | −$2,231 (-100%) |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | Suns | 47¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Penguins vs. Capitals | Penguins | 42¢ | 0¢ | $92 | $0 | −$92 (-100%) |
| Sabres vs. Bruins | Bruins | 36¢ | 0¢ | $1,190 | $0 | −$1,190 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Spurs | 53¢ | 0¢ | $204,177 | $0 | −$204,177 (-100%) |
| Canadiens vs. Islanders | Islanders | 53¢ | 0¢ | $2,880 | $0 | −$2,880 (-100%) |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Canadiens | 63¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Spread: Bucks (-1.5) | Bucks | 49¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $90,891 | $0 | −$90,891 (-100%) |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $878 | $0 | −$878 (-100%) |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Clippers | 47¢ | 0¢ | $84,456 | $0 | −$84,456 (-100%) |
| Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 | Over | 53¢ | 0¢ | $67,924 | $0 | −$67,924 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5 | Under | 43¢ | 0¢ | $7,600 | $0 | −$7,600 (-100%) |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | Magic | 50¢ | 0¢ | $9,473 | $0 | −$9,473 (-100%) |
| Blue Jackets vs. Sabres | Blue Jackets | 29¢ | 0¢ | $4,029 | $0 | −$4,029 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 12 | $794 | −$794 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders | Jun 12 | $22,631 | −$22,631 | -100% |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 12 | $21,875 | −$21,875 | -100% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $99,000 | −$99,000 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | Jun 12 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 12 | $2,231 | −$2,231 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Capitals | Jun 12 | $92 | −$92 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Bruins | Jun 12 | $1,190 | −$1,190 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Islanders | Jun 12 | $2,880 | −$2,880 | -100% |
| Spread: Bucks (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $90,891 | −$90,891 | -100% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 12 | $878 | −$878 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Jun 12 | $84,456 | −$84,456 | -100% |
| Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 | Jun 12 | $67,924 | −$67,924 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5 | Jun 12 | $7,600 | −$7,600 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | Jun 12 | $9,473 | −$9,473 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Sabres | Jun 12 | $4,029 | −$4,029 | -100% |
| Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 12 | $1,033 | −$1,033 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Jun 12 | $16,085 | −$16,085 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Stars | Jun 12 | $1,079 | −$1,079 | -100% |
| Bruins vs. Sabres | Jun 12 | $9,218 | −$9,218 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 | Jun 12 | $58,364 | −$58,364 | -100% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 12 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 12 | $56,685 | +$9,460 | +17% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 11 | $37,000 | −$37,000 | -100% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Jun 10 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 10 | $73,726 | −$28,179 | -38% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 07 | $43,401 | +$14,536 | +34% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 05 | $58,093 | −$35,955 | -62% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 03 | $17,275 | +$2,263 | +13% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 30 | $22,847 | +$910 | +4% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | May 29 | $3 | +$2 | +93% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 28 | $145,946 | +$9,827 | +7% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | May 27 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | May 27 | $4 | +$1 | +42% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 27 | $90,178 | −$54,879 | -61% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | May 26 | $6 | +$4 | +56% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 26 | $22,441 | −$4,023 | -18% |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | May 25 | $3 | +$2 | +59% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 25 | $60,952 | −$35,778 | -59% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 24 | $82,595 | +$12,885 | +16% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 23 | $499,487 | −$496,060 | -99% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 23 | $52,843 | −$12,052 | -23% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 22 | $82,005 | −$204,177 | -249% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $3,133 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 89¢ | $2,653 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 89¢ | $2,653 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 89¢ | $2,653 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 89¢ | $140 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 89¢ | $206 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $2,682 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $2,682 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $2,682 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $2,682 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $2,682 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 88¢ | $2,628 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 88¢ | $2,624 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 88¢ | $2,624 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $581 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $378 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $378 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $6 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $90 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $36 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $36 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $90 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $36 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $36 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $110 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $63 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $568 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $90 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $36 | 9h |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | BUY Hurricanes | 90¢ | $140 | 9h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 30 | -89.6% | -90.6% | 7% | 7% | -78.5% |
| ≤30d | 46 | -63.5% | -67.0% | 22% | 17% | -72.1% |
| ≤90d | 46 | -63.5% | -67.0% | 22% | 17% | -72.1% |
| all | 46 | -63.5% | -67.0% | 22% | 17% | -72.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -67.0% | 17% | -72.1% |
| 10% | -70.1% | 11% | -74.8% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -73.0% | 9% | -77.2% |
| 20% | -75.7% | 7% | -79.4% |