Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a88…b859
sports · 1277 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$78,848 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16,575 · open −$95,535
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$208,170
Realized+$16,575
Unrealized−$95,535
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1261 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions16
Markets (closed)1261 / 1277
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1,162
Trades / day428.8
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 16 History 1261 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$275
7 days+$16,575
14 days+$16,575
30 days+$16,575
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 50¢ 99¢ $97,211 $192,965 +$95,753 (+98%)
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? Yes 97¢ 99¢ $7,301 $7,521 +$220 (+3%)
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? No 95¢ 95¢ $4,268 $4,255 −$13 (-0%)
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 50¢ 1¢ $97,211 $1,458 −$95,753 (-98%)
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Joao Domingues 100¢ 100¢ $1,000 $1,000 +$1 (+0%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 93¢ 96¢ $280 $289 +$9 (+3%)
World Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken? No 95¢ 96¢ $133 $134 +$0 (+0%)
Kudernatsch vs. Rossi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $92 $92 +$0 (+0%)
Kudernatsch vs. Rossi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $78 $78 +$0 (+0%)
ITF Vaasa: Moritz Kudernatsch vs Leonardo Rossi Leonardo Rossi 100¢ 100¢ $65 $65 +$0 (+0%)
Kudernatsch vs. Rossi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Under 100¢ 100¢ $64 $64 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: IK Start 1 - 1 Vålerenga Fotball? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Kudernatsch vs. Rossi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $42 $43 +$0 (+1%)
Kudernatsch vs. Rossi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $42 $42 +$0 (+1%)
Kudernatsch vs. Rossi: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $42 $42 +$0 (+1%)
Set 2 Winner: Kudernatsch vs Rossi Rossi 99¢ 100¢ $41 $41 +$0 (+1%)
Set 1 Winner: Kudernatsch vs Rossi Rossi 100¢ 100¢ $28 $28 +$0 (+0%)
Valle vs. Jover: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Landaluce vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Set 2 Winner: Persson vs Mair Persson 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Gorzny vs. Miyoshi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Kenta Miyoshi Jun 12 $53 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Shimabukuro Jun 12 $309 $0 +0%
Ilkley: Completed Match: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $0 +$5 +1845%
ITF Messina: Maxence Rivet vs Fausto Tabacco Jun 12 $444 $0 +0%
Rivet vs. Tabacco: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Rivet vs. Tabacco: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $78 $0 +0%
Grubor vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Hudd vs. Domingues: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $41 $0 +0%
Hudd vs. Domingues: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $16 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Brooks/Rajecki (-1.5) vs Harrison/Osborne (+1.5) Jun 12 $44 $0 +0%
OC Safi leading at halftime? Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
FathUnionSport leading at halftime? Jun 12 $78 $0 +0%
Kawkab AC leading at halftime? Jun 12 $78 $0 +0%
Cavalle-Reimers/Salden vs. Cho/Cho: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Cavalle-Reimers/Salden (-1.5) vs Cho/Cho (+1.5) Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Brengle vs. Rapolu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $21 $0 +0%
ITF Decatur: Madison Brengle vs Malaika Rapolu Jun 12 $865 +$1 +0%
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $14 $0 +0%
Maghreb AS de Fès leading at halftime? Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Maric vs. Podoroska: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Sweeny vs. Harris: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $17 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Campos vs. Ramos: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Alberto Barroso Campos vs. Pablo Perez Ramos: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $78 $0 +0%
Aurora Zantedeschi vs. Alessandra Mazzola: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $78 $0 +0%
Iva Jovic vs. Amanda Anisimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $103 $0 +0%
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Lucas Marionneau Jun 12 $55 $0 +0%
Zantedeschi vs. Mazzola: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $12 $0 +0%
Shelton vs. Giron: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Ben Shelton vs. Marcos Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $105 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Jun 12 $51 $0 +0%
Dudeney vs. Krueger: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $54 $0 +0%
Maric vs. Podoroska: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $54 $0 +0%
Bellucci vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
ITF Vaasa: Joaquin Guilleme vs Linus Lagerbohm Jun 12 $197 $0 +0%
Raul Brancaccio vs. Roberto Carballes Baena: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $78 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Karol/Serdarusic (-1.5) vs Pokorny/Sachko (+1.5) Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Karol/Serdarusic vs. Pokorny/Sachko: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $0 +$5 +9613%
Karol/Serdarusic vs. Pokorny/Sachko: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $0 +$5 +9613%
Karol/Serdarusic vs. Pokorny/Sachko: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5) Jun 12 $715 +$1 +0%
Set Handicap: Echeverria (-1.5) vs Gomez (+1.5) Jun 12 $54 $0 +0%
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 12 $157 $0 +0%
Samuel vs. Holmgren: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Prisacariu vs. Gennaro: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Andreea Prisacariu vs. Camilla Gennaro: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $63 $0 +0%
Auger-Aliassime vs. Majchrzak: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Piros vs Daniel Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 76% −$95,744
sports 19% +$8,867
other 5% +$3,803
world 0% +$4,113
finance 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? BUY No 95¢ $17 4m
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? BUY No 94¢ $38 10m
ITF Vaasa: Moritz Kudernatsch vs Leonardo Rossi BUY Leonardo Rossi 100¢ $15 19m
ITF Vaasa: Moritz Kudernatsch vs Leonardo Rossi BUY Leonardo Rossi 100¢ $50 22m
Kudernatsch vs. Rossi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $42 22m
Kudernatsch vs. Rossi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $78 22m
Set 2 Winner: Kudernatsch vs Rossi BUY Rossi 99¢ $41 22m
Kudernatsch vs. Rossi: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $42 22m
Kudernatsch vs. Rossi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $64 22m
Kudernatsch vs. Rossi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $92 22m
Kudernatsch vs. Rossi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $42 22m
Set 1 Winner: Kudernatsch vs Rossi BUY Rossi 100¢ $28 22m
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Shimabukuro BUY Shimabukuro 100¢ $309 23m
Gorzny vs. Miyoshi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $20 26m
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues BUY Joao Domingues 100¢ $647 28m
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Kenta Miyoshi BUY Sebastian Gorzny 100¢ $3 29m
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues BUY Joao Domingues 100¢ $339 30m
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues BUY Joao Domingues 100¢ $14 31m
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Kenta Miyoshi BUY Sebastian Gorzny 100¢ $50 38m
ITF Messina: Maxence Rivet vs Fausto Tabacco BUY Fausto Tabacco 100¢ $16 39m
Grubor vs. Ma: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $25 40m
ITF Messina: Maxence Rivet vs Fausto Tabacco BUY Fausto Tabacco 100¢ $103 42m
ITF Messina: Maxence Rivet vs Fausto Tabacco BUY Fausto Tabacco 100¢ $260 46m
Ilkley: Completed Match: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Yes 5¢ $0 48m
ITF Messina: Maxence Rivet vs Fausto Tabacco BUY Fausto Tabacco 100¢ $64 55m
Rivet vs. Tabacco: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 100¢ $50 55m
Rivet vs. Tabacco: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 100¢ $78 55m
Hudd vs. Domingues: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $16 1h
Hudd vs. Domingues: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 100¢ $41 1h
Brengle vs. Rapolu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)+3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1261 +14.4% +3.5% 100% 1% -5.6%
≤30d 1261 +14.4% +3.5% 100% 1% -5.6%
≤90d 1261 +14.4% +3.5% 100% 1% -5.6%
all 1261 +14.4% +3.5% 100% 1% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover428.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.5% 1% -5.6%
10% ← realistic here -6.4% 1% -14.6%
15% -15.4% 1% -22.9%
20% -23.7% 1% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $208,169.86 · official $208,171.58 (match) · 3500 history records