trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -21.6% | -29.1% | 42% | 42% | -26.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -21.6% | -29.1% | 42% | 42% | -26.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -21.6% | -29.1% | 42% | 42% | -26.1% |
| all | 27 | -46.3% | -51.4% | 26% | 26% | -37.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -51.4% | 26% | -37.1% |
| 10% | -56.0% | 22% | -43.1% |
| 15% | -60.3% | 22% | -48.6% |
| 20% | -64.2% | 19% | -53.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 6¢ | $650 | $425 | −$225 (-35%) |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance | Portugal | 69¢ | 68¢ | $300 | $295 | −$5 (-2%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7¢ | 4¢ | $100 | $58 | −$42 (-42%) |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 | Under | 30¢ | 30¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Portugal leading at halftime? | Yes | 40¢ | 39¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 6¢ | $99 | $37 | −$62 (-62%) |
| Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 31¢ | 22¢ | $50 | $35 | −$15 (-30%) |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 18¢ | 1¢ | $183 | $14 | −$169 (-92%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5 | Jun 28 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Portugal to score first vs. Colombia? | Jun 28 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 28 | $231 | −$26 | -11% |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 28 | $51 | +$11 | +22% |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 28 | $51 | +$25 | +50% |
| Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 | Jun 27 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Uruguay to score first vs. Spain? | Jun 27 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 25 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 23 | $102 | +$155 | +152% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $51 | +$72 | +142% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 23 | $51 | +$39 | +76% |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5 | Jun 23 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Mar 26 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Mar 26 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | Mar 26 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 31? | Mar 26 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 09 | $200 | +$399 | +200% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | Jan 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025? | Dec 17 | $510 | −$510 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 12? | Nov 07 | $525 | −$525 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 8? | Nov 04 | $510 | +$561 | +110% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Nov 04 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? | Nov 02 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | Nov 02 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Nov 02 | $108 | −$108 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 2? | Nov 01 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1? | Nov 01 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |