Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:55:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6a9c…7fa0
crypto · 546 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$497 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$504 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$504
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses251 / 293
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)544 / 546
History coverage209d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 544 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$124
7 days−$114
14 days−$114
30 days−$232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Down 53¢ 94¢ $10 $18 +$8 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 60¢ 50¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-18%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) PARIVISION 16¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3) Ultra Prime 21¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) Natus Vincere 3¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3) Heroic 10¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans Kentucky Wildcats 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Passion UA (BO3) Passion UA 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $123 −$82 -67%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$34 +67%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $26 +$37 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$7 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$17 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +79%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $32 −$18 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$22 +263%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$112
crypto 45% −$360
other 1% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 210 -6.9% -15.8% 46% 40% -15.9%
≤30d 216 -8.9% -17.5% 45% 39% -21.5%
≤90d 377 -3.0% -12.2% 49% 44% -19.9%
all 544 -7.0% -15.9% 46% 40% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 40% -18.0%
10% -23.9% 36% -25.9%
15% -31.3% 33% -33.0%
20% -38.0% 29% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.66 · official $23.43 (match) · 2584 history records