Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:27:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6aa5…dd2f
crypto · 1019 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$8 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses718 / 292
Open positions9
Markets (closed)1010 / 1019
History coverage215d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day9.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 9 History 1010 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$9
14 days+$2
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 82¢ 88¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+7%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No 82¢ 92¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in June? No 62¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Will Trump say "Gay" in June? No 49¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-23%)
Will Trump say "Warrior" this week? No 69¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-30%)
Will Trump say "Muscle" in June? No 67¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times in Rome, GA on February 19? No 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Leavitt say "Regime" during the next press briefing? No 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Dictator" this week? (February 15) No 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday? No 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026? No 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? No 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Oil" during Memphis Roundtable? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $4 +$3 +75%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +71%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $7 +$5 +63%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +41%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $4 −$2 -48%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +20%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 10 $12 +$1 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 09 $4 +$2 +51%
Will Trump say "Kuwait" this week? Jun 08 $1 $0 +26%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 07 $1 $0 -40%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $20 +$2 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $5 −$3 -57%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $11 −$1 -10%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $5 +$2 +41%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $6 +$2 +30%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -80%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $7 $0 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $2 +$1 +63%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 03 $5 $0 +7%
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 03 $16 −$5 -29%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $9 −$9 -99%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $17 +$6 +33%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31? Jun 01 $4 $0 +3%
Will White House post 120-139 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 31 $2 −$2 -89%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $14 +$2 +17%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $5 +$2 +45%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $9 +$3 +29%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $4 +$2 +40%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $3 −$3 -100%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $8 $0 +1%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $6 −$2 -29%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $5 −$3 -58%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $9 +$5 +52%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $5 +$1 +21%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $1 $0 +25%
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $1 $0 +41%
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $2 $0 +17%
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $3 $0 +10%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $21 +$1 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $2 −$2 -98%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 20 $2 $0 +12%
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 20 $4 $0 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 20 $6 +$1 +18%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 19 $1 −$1 -61%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 18 $5 $0 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? May 18 $1 −$1 -99%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 17 $3 −$2 -68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 59% −$27
other 31% +$42
politics 8% +$6
world 1% −$10
culture 0% −$2
tech 0% −$3
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $2 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 10h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 10h
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $12 10h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 28h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 28h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 28h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $1 28h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 28h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 29h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1 31h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 34h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 35h
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 60¢ $5 35h
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 35h
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 34¢ $2 35h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 2d
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 77¢ $2 2d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 83¢ $2 2d
Will Trump say "Warrior" this week? BUY No 69¢ $1 3d
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 3d
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 3d
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele BUY Yes 85¢ $2 3d
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY Yes 95¢ $10 3d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? BUY Yes 75¢ $1 4d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 5d
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 5d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? SELL Yes 34¢ $1 5d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +9.0% -1.4% 69% 54% +3.2%
≤30d 62 -2.0% -11.3% 68% 47% -7.3%
≤90d 439 -3.3% -12.5% 69% 45% -10.5%
all 1010 -1.2% -10.6% 71% 51% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 51% -9.3%
10% -19.2% 31% -18.0%
15% -27.0% 17% -25.9%
20% -34.1% 8% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.54 · official $15.54 (match) · 2733 history records