trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +16.1% | +5.1% | 52% | 52% | -11.7% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +16.1% | +5.1% | 52% | 52% | -11.7% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +16.1% | +5.1% | 52% | 52% | -11.7% |
| all | 23 | +16.1% | +5.1% | 52% | 52% | -11.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.1% | 52% | -11.7% |
| 10% | -5.0% | 48% | -20.2% |
| 15% | -14.2% | 43% | -27.9% |
| 20% | -22.6% | 22% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Yes | 39¢ | 40¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | $37 | $37 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 19¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 | Jun 25 | $30 | +$20 | +65% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $164 | −$163 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $10 | +$30 | +291% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $121 | +$51 | +42% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | +$33 | +32% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $41 | +$59 | +146% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $173 | +$71 | +41% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $5 | +$33 | +650% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $7 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $81 | +$32 | +39% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $40 | +$18 | +46% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $74 | +$41 | +55% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$24 | +48% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $23 | −$22 | -98% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |