trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +27.6% | +15.5% | 36% | 36% | +2.4% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +14.1% | +3.3% | 43% | 43% | -13.2% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +14.1% | +3.3% | 43% | 43% | -13.2% |
| all | 83 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 63% | 41% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.7% | 41% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -16.6% | 31% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 17% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 13% | -32.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$176 | +344% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$251 | +246% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $102 | +$268 | +262% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? | Jun 14 | $104 | +$159 | +152% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? | Jun 11 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? | Jun 10 | $104 | −$100 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? | Jun 10 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8? | Jun 08 | $106 | +$44 | +41% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7? | Jun 07 | $93 | −$91 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? | Jun 07 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5? | Jun 05 | $233 | −$229 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | Jun 04 | $216 | +$107 | +49% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3? | Jun 03 | $654 | −$307 | -47% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2? | Jun 02 | $102 | +$169 | +165% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1? | Jun 01 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1? | Jun 01 | $104 | +$165 | +158% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Jun 01 | $5 | +$1 | +26% |
| Sam Altman in jail by December 31? | Dec 04 | $500 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Dec 04 | $200 | +$34 | +17% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | Dec 04 | $100 | +$35 | +35% |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Dec 04 | $200 | −$176 | -88% |
| Nets vs. Bucks | Nov 30 | $175 | −$119 | -68% |
| Raptors vs. Hornets | Nov 30 | $6,723 | −$1,440 | -21% |
| Celtics vs. Timberwolves | Nov 30 | $4,543 | +$190 | +4% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Nov 29 | $56 | −$29 | -52% |
| 76ers vs. Nets | Nov 29 | $4,700 | +$272 | +6% |
| Wizards vs. Pacers | Nov 29 | $99 | +$2 | +2% |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Nov 27 | $4,606 | +$42 | +1% |
| Bucks vs. Heat | Nov 27 | $30 | +$20 | +67% |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Nov 27 | $102 | +$22 | +22% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Nov 27 | $206 | +$157 | +76% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Nov 26 | $102 | −$37 | -36% |
| Timberwolves vs. Kings | Nov 25 | $26 | −$5 | -20% |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Nov 25 | $50 | −$5 | -9% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Nov 25 | $4,455 | +$54 | +1% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Nov 25 | $1,199 | −$169 | -14% |
| Knicks vs. Nets | Nov 25 | $37 | −$19 | -51% |
| Lakers vs. Jazz | Nov 24 | $30 | +$28 | +95% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Thunder | Nov 24 | $1,975 | +$23 | +1% |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Nov 24 | $4,059 | +$146 | +4% |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Nov 24 | $342 | +$38 | +11% |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Nov 23 | $40 | −$1 | -2% |
| Hawks vs. Pelicans | Nov 23 | $200 | +$9 | +4% |
| Pelicans vs. Mavericks | Nov 22 | $536 | −$136 | -25% |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Nov 22 | $170 | +$30 | +18% |
| Nets vs. Celtics | Nov 22 | $785 | −$267 | -34% |