Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:12:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6ab7…0f43
crypto · 98 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses67 / 30
Open positions1
Markets (closed)97 / 98
History coverage6d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day32.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 97 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 70¢ 70¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -1.7% -11.0% 69% 40% -13.8%
≤30d 97 -1.7% -11.0% 69% 40% -13.8%
≤90d 97 -1.7% -11.0% 69% 40% -13.8%
all 97 -1.7% -11.0% 69% 40% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 40% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 22% -22.0%
15% -27.3% 7% -29.6%
20% -34.4% 3% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.52 · official $2.42 · 321 history records