Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:20:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6ac5…c28d
sports · 299 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$65 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$64 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$64
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses119 / 171
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions9
Markets (closed)290 / 299
History coverage61d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 9 History 290 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$16
14 days−$3
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Derrick Lewis 24¢ 22¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-6%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 36¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 55¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Argentina 44¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 59¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? No 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Colorado Rockies 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev Jesper de Jong 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Atlanta Braves 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Colorado Rockies 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Spurs 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 10? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers San Francisco Giants 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $10 $0 -5%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 $0 -0%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $3 +$3 +105%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $6 $0 -2%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 09 $20 +$13 +65%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 07 $3 +$2 +70%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $10 +$14 +134%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $5 +$8 +165%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 01 $5 $0 -5%
Roland Garros Juniors, Boys: Michael Antonius vs Kirill Filaretov Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $3 $0 +1%
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev May 31 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $3 $0 -1%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 31 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 30 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29? May 29 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 29? May 29 $1 +$2 +180%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 27? May 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 28? May 27 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $2 −$2 -99%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 28? May 27 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 28? May 27 $2 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May May 27 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27? May 27 $1 +$2 +211%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? May 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 27? May 26 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 26? May 26 $3 −$3 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 26? May 26 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26? May 26 $2 +$1 +70%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $7 +$5 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 27? May 25 $1 −$1 -96%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $2 +$2 +73%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 +$1 +101%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $5 +$4 +79%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 24? May 24 $2 +$1 +63%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $3 +$3 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% −$14
crypto 26% −$54
other 19% +$20
weather 4% −$13
world 1% −$6
politics 0% +$4
culture 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 2h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 36¢ $3 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 32¢ $2 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 18¢ $10 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 59¢ $2 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 2h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $3 2h
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) BUY Argentina 44¢ $2 9h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 33¢ $2 9h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $3 9h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 48¢ $3 47h
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Boston Red Sox 43¢ $2 47h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 69¢ $6 47h
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY Portugal 52¢ $5 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Alex Pereira 50¢ $3 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Derrick Lewis 24¢ $2 2d
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 2d
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Derrick Lewis 24¢ $5 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $6 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 55¢ $2 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $5 4d
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo BUY Toronto Tempo 58¢ $3 5d
Spread: Spain (-1.5) BUY Spain 60¢ $20 5d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 31¢ $4 5d
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-05? BUY Yes 42¢ $10 7d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $5 8d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 36¢ $5 10d
Roland Garros Juniors, Boys: Michael Antonius vs Kirill Filaretov BUY Kirill Filaretov 0¢ $2 11d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -3.3% -12.5% 33% 33% +10.0%
≤30d 139 -9.1% -17.7% 38% 37% -16.1%
≤90d 290 -11.0% -19.5% 41% 40% -17.9%
all 290 -11.0% -19.5% 41% 40% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.5% 40% -17.9%
10% -27.2% 38% -25.8%
15% -34.2% 34% -33.0%
20% -40.7% 32% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.03 · official $23.03 (match) · 647 history records