Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:48:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6acf…6851
crypto · 99 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$36 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$49 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$17
Realized+$49
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses63 / 19
Open positions3
Markets (closed)82 / 99
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day130.0
Drawdown73%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$49
7 days+$49
14 days+$49
30 days+$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 81¢ 92¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 61¢ 68¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 64¢ 68¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 51¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-83%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$8 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$10 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$7 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $6 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +76%
net ROI/market (all)-3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 +6.8% -3.4% 77% 76% -1.3%
≤30d 82 +6.8% -3.4% 77% 76% -1.3%
≤90d 82 +6.8% -3.4% 77% 76% -1.3%
all 82 +6.8% -3.4% 77% 76% -1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover130.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.4% 76% -1.3%
10% ← realistic here -12.6% 61% -10.7%
15% -21.1% 33% -19.3%
20% -28.8% 18% -27.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.27 · official $15.52 · 210 history records