Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6ad1…3c26
sports · 71 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$26 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized+$23
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses39 / 28
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions4
Markets (closed)67 / 71
History coverage12d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day15.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$5
14 days+$23
30 days+$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Spirit 30¢ 100¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+228%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 49¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+103%)
Will Karrigan retire by June 30? No 98¢ 98¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Spirit 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Vitality 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Vitality 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $37 +$9 +26%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $35 +$5 +15%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $10 +$5 +55%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$6 -49%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $126 +$11 +9%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $14 +$5 +38%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $23 −$17 -71%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -99%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $13 +$6 +51%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $16 +$6 +39%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $3 +$7 +203%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $13 +$7 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $8 +$2 +33%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$4 +61%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $28 +$8 +28%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$5 +32%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 +$7 +197%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 −$3 -56%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $11 +$7 +63%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $6 −$4 -69%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 −$2 -46%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 08 $19 −$19 -100%
Will BetBoom qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 08 $9 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $20 +$10 +49%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $4 +$4 +102%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $15 +$5 +34%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$5 +86%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $33 +$4 +11%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $14 +$6 +46%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $13 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$4 -36%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $4 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $11 −$1 -7%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $5 −$1 -14%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $21 +$2 +8%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $35 +$6 +16%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $77 −$7 -10%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $7 +$3 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$25
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 49¢ $2 55m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 23¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 38¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 84¢ $21 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 69¢ $21 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 83¢ $21 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 79¢ $20 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $35 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 58¢ $6 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 53¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 61¢ $6 9h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 64¢ $6 9h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 78¢ $16 9h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $7 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 50¢ $5 12h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 44¢ $4 13h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 53¢ $5 13h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 80¢ $63 27h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $40 28h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 70¢ $35 28h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 60¢ $6 29h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $86 30h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 6¢ $1 30h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 24¢ $4 30h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 23¢ $2 30h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 95¢ $10 30h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $10 31h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Vitality 68¢ $7 35h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 62¢ $6 35h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $14 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -11.8% -20.2% 55% 48% -10.3%
≤30d 67 -1.1% -10.5% 58% 49% -7.2%
≤90d 67 -1.1% -10.5% 58% 49% -7.2%
all 67 -1.1% -10.5% 58% 49% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 49% -7.2%
10% -19.1% 43% -16.1%
15% -26.9% 36% -24.2%
20% -34.0% 24% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.04 · official $17.04 (match) · 214 history records