Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:58:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6ad6…1758
crypto · 1035 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,084 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$391 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$391
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses685 / 350
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1035 / 1035
History coverage18d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day120.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1035 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$114
7 days−$187
14 days−$580
30 days−$391
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $197 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $177 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $197 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $73 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $197 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $118 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $197 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $69 +$11 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$23 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $190 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $194 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$36 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $195 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$4 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$391
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $119 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $79 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $78 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $119 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $76 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $79 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $119 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $76 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $78 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $73 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 353 -3.8% -13.0% 91% 8% -10.2%
≤30d 1035 -2.7% -12.0% 66% 4% -10.1%
≤90d 1035 -2.7% -12.0% 66% 4% -10.1%
all 1035 -2.7% -12.0% 66% 4% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover120.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 4% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 2% -18.7%
15% -28.1% 1% -26.6%
20% -35.1% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records