Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:12:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6ad8…3ebe
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$24 -64%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage95d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit14%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Mar 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10? Mar 10 $3 $0 -2%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? Mar 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07? Mar 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09? Mar 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 91% −$21
sports 9% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 4h
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 94d
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10? SELL Yes 35¢ $3 94d
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10? BUY Yes 36¢ $3 94d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? BUY Yes 40¢ $10 94d
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 95d
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 95d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-85.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 6 -83.7% -85.3% 0% 0% -89.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -85.3% 0% -89.4%
10% -86.7% 0% -90.4%
15% -88.0% 0% -91.3%
20% -89.1% 0% -92.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.11 · official $10.11 (match) · 8 history records