Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T16:55:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6A 0x6ae2…0353 crypto 12 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$1 (+0%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate92%11W / 1L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day23.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -3.4% -12.6% 92% 17% -43.5%
≤30d 12 -3.4% -12.6% 92% 17% -43.5%
≤90d 12 -3.4% -12.6% 92% 17% -43.5%
all 12 -3.4% -12.6% 92% 17% -43.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 17% -43.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 8% -48.9%
15% -28.6% 0% -53.9%
20% -35.6% 0% -58.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 35% · top 2 62% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -38% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
82% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -38% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$80 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.06 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses11 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 12 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 27 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 27 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 27 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 27 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 35 history records