Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6A
0x6ae8…5746
crypto · 727 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$360 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$356 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$356
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses253 / 472
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)725 / 727
Avg bet$11
Trades / day149.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 725 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$81
7 days−$151
14 days−$342
30 days−$356
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 19¢ 2¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$9 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$10 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$356
sports 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 490 -1.7% -11.0% 34% 26% -13.0%
≤30d 725 -2.5% -11.8% 35% 22% -13.5%
≤90d 725 -2.5% -11.8% 35% 22% -13.5%
all 725 -2.5% -11.8% 35% 22% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover149.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 22% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 11% -21.7%
15% -27.9% 10% -29.3%
20% -35.0% 10% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.16 · official $3.81 · 3500 history records