Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T14:10:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6B 0x6b01…0e35 crypto 499 markets active 0h ago coverage 47d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 47d only
✗ bot/MM pace (72 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$902 (-6%) realized −$872 · open −$30
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate37%198W / 337L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day71.6pace
Fees−$5est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$570
7 days−$874
14 days−$939
30 days−$2,344
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$2,156
sports 2% +$26
other 1% +$20
politics 0% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (72 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-33.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 180 -29.1% -35.9% 38% 31% -28.4%
≤30d 485 -26.4% -33.4% 37% 30% -26.8%
≤90d 535 -26.4% -33.4% 37% 29% -26.3%
all 535 -26.4% -33.4% 37% 29% -26.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover71.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.4% 29% -26.3%
10% ← realistic here -39.8% 21% -33.3%
15% -45.6% 14% -39.8%
20% -50.9% 10% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -26% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -23% → late -30% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$13 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.46 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

47d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$872
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses198 / 337
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)535 / 499
History coverage47d ⚠
Avg bet$28
Trades / day71.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 535 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 207 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$4 -621%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$4 -198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$10 +580%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 27 $3 −$7 -222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 27 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 27 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 27 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 27 $57 +$23 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 27 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $7 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 27 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 27 $36 +$33 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 27 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 27 $22 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 27 $42 −$17 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 27 $43 +$10 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $29 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $79 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.03 · official $2.77 · 3500 history records