Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:38:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b11…2080
crypto · 1105 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$428 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$428 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$428
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses970 / 222
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1192 / 1105
History coverage8d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day332.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1192 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$440
7 days−$453
14 days−$428
30 days−$428
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 77¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 88¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 93¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 63¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 97¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 86¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 75¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 94¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 88¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 79¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 86¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 74¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 85¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 60¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 86¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 87¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 82¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 92¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 82¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 81¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 74¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 80¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 89¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 78¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 77¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $23 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1054 -14.9% -23.0% 81% 6% -11.7%
≤30d 1192 -14.3% -22.5% 81% 6% -11.4%
≤90d 1192 -14.3% -22.5% 81% 6% -11.4%
all 1192 -14.3% -22.5% 81% 6% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover332.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.5% 6% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -29.9% 2% -19.9%
15% -36.7% 1% -27.6%
20% -42.9% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records