Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:01:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b11…fb38
other · 164 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$53 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$80 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized−$80
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses14 / 149
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)163 / 164
History coverage96d
Avg bet$133
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 1 History 163 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$10
14 days−$27
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 98¢ 98¢ $65 $65 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $44 −$1 -2%
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $55 −$1 -2%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $49 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 13 $43 −$1 -2%
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $39 −$1 -1%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 13 $119 $0 -0%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 12 $150 −$2 -1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Jun 12 $47 $0 +0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $104 −$1 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $56 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $36 $0 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 11 $151 −$1 -0%
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 10 $51 −$1 -2%
Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 10 $50 $0 -0%
Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $55 −$2 -3%
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 09 $19 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $55 $0 -0%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 07 $61 $0 -1%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 07 $61 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $434 −$1 -0%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $106 $0 -0%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 06 $99 $0 -0%
Will Turkiye reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $54 −$2 -4%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $55 −$1 -1%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $214 −$2 -1%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun Jun 05 $47 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Jun 04 $68 −$1 -1%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 04 $367 −$1 -0%
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 Jun 04 $55 −$1 -2%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 04 $62 −$1 -1%
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 03 $55 −$1 -2%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $251 −$1 -0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 03 $96 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 02 $209 −$1 -0%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 02 $61 −$1 -2%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Jun 02 $145 −$1 -0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $138 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $209 −$1 -1%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 01 $190 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $97 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 30 $90 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 30 $370 −$1 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $331 $0 -0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom May 29 $195 $0 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 29 $398 −$1 -0%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? May 29 $45 −$2 -5%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 28 $52 $0 +0%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? May 28 $281 −$1 -0%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? May 28 $366 −$2 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $315 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 30% −$20
other 28% −$25
sports 14% −$8
crypto 10% −$9
world 7% −$6
economics 5% −$3
culture 3% −$3
finance 1% −$1
tech 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY No 98¢ $65 45m
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 91¢ $43 1h
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 92¢ $44 7h
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 91¢ $55 7h
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 92¢ $55 14h
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 94¢ $49 15h
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 94¢ $49 19h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 90¢ $42 20h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 91¢ $43 28h
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? SELL No 94¢ $39 28h
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY No 95¢ $39 34h
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $59 35h
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $59 42h
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 97¢ $46 43h
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 98¢ $23 2d
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 98¢ $23 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $47 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 93¢ $47 2d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 97¢ $49 2d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 97¢ $49 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $56 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $56 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $36 3d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $36 3d
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 97¢ $51 3d
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 97¢ $51 3d
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 97¢ $51 3d
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 97¢ $52 3d
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 90¢ $50 3d
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 91¢ $51 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -0.9% -10.3% 6% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 83 -0.7% -10.2% 4% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 159 -0.5% -10.0% 8% 0% -9.9%
all 163 -0.5% -10.0% 9% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.34 · official $65.34 (match) · 656 history records