Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:53:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6B
0x6b17…03b2
sports · 219 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,128 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$579 · open −$873
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5,444
Realized+$579
Unrealized−$873
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses73 / 103
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$638
Open positions125
Markets (closed)176 / 219
Avg bet$197
Trades / day317.1
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 125 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,278
7 days−$169
14 days+$579
30 days+$579
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? Under 46¢ 100¢ $247 $542 +$295 (+119%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner T1 46¢ 100¢ $243 $532 +$289 (+119%)
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 95¢ 96¢ $441 $445 +$4 (+1%)
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No 81¢ 90¢ $249 $278 +$29 (+12%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 45¢ 51¢ $246 $277 +$31 (+13%)
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? No 56¢ 62¢ $250 $277 +$27 (+11%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 96¢ 95¢ $249 $246 −$3 (-1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 100¢ $123 $243 +$121 (+99%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 40¢ 38¢ $247 $234 −$13 (-5%)
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? No 43¢ 40¢ $249 $232 −$17 (-7%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? No 83¢ 83¢ $203 $203 −$0 (-0%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $199 $198 −$1 (-1%)
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 24¢ 16¢ $289 $198 −$91 (-32%)
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 62¢ 64¢ $186 $190 +$4 (+2%)
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 50¢ 44¢ $189 $164 −$25 (-13%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) T1 66¢ 62¢ $173 $161 −$12 (-7%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Hanwha Life Esports 33¢ 38¢ $99 $115 +$16 (+16%)
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 27? Yes 88¢ 89¢ $106 $107 +$1 (+1%)
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $81 $85 +$4 (+6%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 39¢ 20¢ $162 $85 −$77 (-47%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat? Yes 25¢ 16¢ $107 $71 −$36 (-33%)
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes 32¢ 44¢ $51 $70 +$20 (+39%)
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15? No 34¢ 42¢ $50 $63 +$13 (+27%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 48¢ 50¢ $31 $33 +$2 (+5%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No 18¢ 12¢ $47 $32 −$14 (-30%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $490 −$77 -16%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $44 −$14 -32%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $287 −$9 -3%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $607 +$165 +27%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $988 +$23 +2%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $396 +$69 +17%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $246 +$10 +4%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $39 −$24 -61%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $57 −$57 -100%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $387 −$179 -46%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 10 $202 −$202 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $53 +$9 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $63 −$32 -51%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $126 −$1 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $121 −$110 -91%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $529 −$127 -24%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $220 −$167 -76%
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5) Jun 10 $264 −$239 -91%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $305 −$213 -70%
ITF Tokyo: Funa Kozaki vs Nao Nishino Jun 10 $97 −$97 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 10 $519 −$23 -4%
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Tai Leonard Sach Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
ITF Wuning: Junhan Zhang vs Yufei Ren Jun 10 $195 +$81 +41%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Leo Vithoontien Jun 10 $11 +$3 +27%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $420 −$99 -24%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $482 −$48 -10%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $415 +$354 +85%
ITF Cuiaba: Maria Eduarda Carbone Dos Santos vs Giovana Schincariol De Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $349 +$187 +54%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $403 +$30 +7%
Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $80 +$24 +30%
Will B8 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $413 −$336 -81%
Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top global Netflix show thi Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9? Jun 09 $113 +$406 +358%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 9? Jun 09 $377 +$12 +3%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on June 9? Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 9? Jun 09 $17 $0 +0%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 9? Jun 09 $117 −$112 -95%
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Pl Jun 09 $298 −$298 -100%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Radka Zelnickova vs Kathinka Von Deichmann Jun 09 $53 −$45 -85%
ITF Kayseri: Minel Naz Kaynak vs Zeynep Ilker Jun 09 $33 +$10 +31%
ITF Zagreb: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Wuning: Yexin Ma vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva Jun 09 $81 −$81 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Thasaporn Naklo vs Sae Noguchi Jun 09 $3 +$1 +32%
Utah Archers vs. Maryland Whipsnakes Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Team Secret vs Heretics (BO1) - Europe MENA League Jun 09 $48 −$48 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $142 +$129 +91%
Netherlands leading at halftime? Jun 08 $434 +$171 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$1,883
other 20% +$317
weather 7% −$202
tech 7% −$48
finance 3% +$1,361
politics 2% +$35
world 1% +$1
crypto 1% +$171
culture 0% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 46¢ $158 5m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $112 23m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 52¢ $6 24m
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 66¢ $163 25m
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 67¢ $10 26m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 46¢ $84 27m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 52¢ $3 29m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 52¢ $5 33m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 52¢ $5 33m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 52¢ $4 33m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 52¢ $5 33m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 52¢ $5 33m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 52¢ $5 33m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 52¢ $46 34m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 44¢ $157 40m
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 43m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $1 53m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 19¢ $16 57m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 13¢ $15 57m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 23¢ $32 57m
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) SELL T1 76¢ $4 57m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 42¢ $126 57m
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 34¢ $17 57m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 25¢ $39 57m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 26¢ $13 57m
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY Hanwha Life Esports 25¢ $8 57m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 26¢ $29 57m
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY T1 56¢ $3 59m
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) SELL Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $30 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 48¢ $138 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 -16.4% -24.3% 40% 29% -10.2%
≤30d 176 -6.2% -15.1% 41% 30% -7.8%
≤90d 176 -6.2% -15.1% 41% 30% -7.8%
all 176 -6.2% -15.1% 41% 30% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover317.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 30% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 21% -16.7%
15% -30.7% 16% -24.7%
20% -37.5% 13% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,444.46 · official $5,433.76 (match) · 3500 history records